Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Gimnasia LP — Atlético Tucumán
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In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Gimnasia LP to win (46%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 46% fails in about 54 matches out of 100 on average.
Gimnasia LP are clear favourites: 46% against 23% for the opponent, draw 30%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gimnasia LP are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Gimnasia LP: unbeaten in 5; Atlético Tucumán: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Gimnasia LP 4 wins, Atlético Tucumán 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gimnasia LP — Atlético Tucumán What is xG? | 1.3–0.9 | |
| Gimnasia LP not to lose | 77% | |
| Atlético Tucumán not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gimnasia LP
- Gimnasia LP goals
- Atlético Tucumán goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 03.10away · Independiente Rivadavia1:1
- 19.09Banfield2:2
- 13.09away · Argentinos Juniors1:1
- 05.09Tigre2:1
- 29.08away · Rosario Central2:1
- 03.10Barracas Central2:3
- 21.09away · Aldosivi0:1
- 17.09away · Independiente Rivadavia1:1
- 12.09River Plate1:2
- 07.09away · Racing Club2:1
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Atlético Tucumán — Gimnasia LP1:0
- 01.09.2025Gimnasia LP — Atlético Tucumán1:0
- 24.02.2025Atlético Tucumán — Gimnasia LP0:1
- 24.11.2024Gimnasia LP — Atlético Tucumán1:0
- 23.05.2024Atlético Tucumán — Gimnasia LP1:2
Next matches
- HuracánGimnasia LP16 October · Liga Profesional3931301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Atlético TucumánRosario Central18 October · Liga Profesional3031392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.0
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 4230281The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.2
- 4528271The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.5
- 363331XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:1.1.8
- 323237XThe most likely outcome came true: X2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:0.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →