Argentine Liga Profesional · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Atlético Tucumán — Rosario Central
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Rosario Central are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 30%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rosario Central are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlético Tucumán — Rosario Central What is xG? | 0.9–1.1 | |
| Atlético Tucumán not to lose | 61% | |
| Rosario Central not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlético Tucumán
- Atlético Tucumán goals
- Rosario Central goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Gimnasia LP1:1
- 03.10Barracas Central2:3
- 21.09away · Aldosivi0:1
- 17.09away · Independiente Rivadavia1:1
- 12.09River Plate1:2
- 11.10Independiente Rivadavia5:0
- 06.10away · Banfield1:1
- 20.09Argentinos Juniors1:0
- 13.09away · Tigre1:0
- 06.09Newell's Old Boys1:1
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Rosario Central — Atlético Tucumán2:1
- 10.08.2025Atlético Tucumán — Rosario Central0:0
- 09.02.2025Rosario Central — Atlético Tucumán3:1
- 27.08.2024Rosario Central — Atlético Tucumán1:0
- 18.04.2023Atlético Tucumán — Rosario Central2:2
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 5427201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →