Polish Ekstraklasa, round 11 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Górnik Zabrze — Piast Gliwice
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Górnik Zabrze are clear favourites: 59% against 16% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Górnik Zabrze are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Górnik Zabrze — No. 1, 25 pts; Piast Gliwice — No. 7, 16 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Górnik Zabrze: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Górnik Zabrze 4 wins, Piast Gliwice 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Górnik Zabrze — Piast Gliwice What is xG? | 1.8–0.9 | |
| Górnik Zabrze not to lose | 84% | |
| Piast Gliwice not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Handicap Górnik Zabrze
- Górnik Zabrze goals
- Piast Gliwice goals
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Form
- 10.10away · Jagiellonia Białystok3:1
- 19.09away · Motor Lublin0:0
- 15.09away · Korona Kielce2:0
- 12.09Lech Poznań2:1
- 06.09away · Cracovia1:0
- 11.10Widzew Łódź2:1
- 20.09Pogoń Szczecin1:2
- 14.09away · Radomiak Radom2:0
- 04.09GKS Katowice3:0
- 29.08away · Motor Lublin2:0
Head to head
- 31.01.2026Górnik Zabrze — Piast Gliwice2:1
- 26.07.2025Piast Gliwice — Górnik Zabrze0:1
- 17.05.2025Piast Gliwice — Górnik Zabrze2:0
- 24.11.2024Górnik Zabrze — Piast Gliwice1:0
- 10.02.2024Piast Gliwice — Górnik Zabrze1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Górnik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | +10 | 25 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Legia Warszawa | 10 | 6 | +13 | 22 |
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 10 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- 353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- 6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →