Segunda Division, round 11 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Granada — Real Valladolid
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Granada are slightly stronger: 44% against 28%, draw 28%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Granada are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Granada — No. 10, 14 pts; Real Valladolid — No. 11, 12 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Real Valladolid: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Granada 3 wins, Real Valladolid 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Granada — Real Valladolid What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Granada not to lose | 72% | |
| Real Valladolid not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Granada
- Granada goals
- Real Valladolid goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Burgos CF1:0
- 04.10away · Real Sociedad B3:2
- 26.09FC Andorra2:3
- 20.09away · Leganés2:3
- 12.09Albacete1:1
- 12.10Albacete5:0
- 04.10away · Las Palmas2:2
- 27.09Córdoba3:1
- 20.09away · AD Ceuta FC1:1
- 13.09Real Oviedo0:3
Head to head
- 14.02.2026Granada — Real Valladolid5:1
- 03.11.2025Real Valladolid — Granada2:1
- 11.04.2021Real Valladolid — Granada1:2
- 22.11.2020Granada — Real Valladolid1:3
- 15.02.2020Granada — Real Valladolid2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Oviedo | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Granada | 9 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Real Valladolid | 9 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →