Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Guijuelo — Sporting Gijón
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sporting Gijón are clear favourites: 71% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sporting Gijón are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Guijuelo — Sporting Gijón What is xG? | 0.8–2.3 | |
| Guijuelo not to lose | 29% | |
| Sporting Gijón not to lose | 89% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Guijuelo
- Guijuelo goals
- Sporting Gijón goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 29.10Ourense1:2
- 01.11Sporting Gijón0:3
- 20.12Villarreal1:2
- 12.11Deportivo A Coruña2:0
- 02.12Rayo Vallecano1:1
- 11.10away · Cádiz1:0
- 04.10Celta Fortuna3:2
- 27.09away · Real Oviedo0:2
- 19.09away · FC Andorra3:1
- 13.09Eldense0:1
Head to head
- 01.11.2023Guijuelo — Sporting Gijón0:3
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Atletico CalatayudOsasunapreliminary714802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4
- Atlético BalearesEldensepreliminary2425512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- UB LebrijanaGetafepreliminary613802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- San Sebastian de los ReyesCD Coriapreliminary4226311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- AntequeraCDA Águilas FCpreliminary3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- ConquenseCastellónpreliminary816762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- CD LaredoBurgos CFpreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4
- Real ÁvilaUnionistas de Salamancapreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →