Austrian Bundesliga, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Hartberg — Wolfsberger AC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hartberg are clear favourites: 49% against 23% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hartberg are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hartberg — Wolfsberger AC What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Hartberg not to lose | 77% | |
| Wolfsberger AC not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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Form
- 11.10Austria Lustenau4:3
- 20.09LASK3:3
- 13.09away · WSG Tirol2:2
- 30.08Ried3:2
- 22.08away · Altach2:1
- 11.10away · Altach0:3
- 20.09away · Ried1:4
- 12.09Rapid Wien0:3
- 01.09LASK1:3
- 29.08away · Grazer AK0:0
Head to head
- 08.11.2025Wolfsberger AC — Hartberg1:2
- 20.09.2025Hartberg — Wolfsberger AC2:2
- 01.03.2025Hartberg — Wolfsberger AC0:3
- 05.10.2024Wolfsberger AC — Hartberg2:3
- 10.12.2023Hartberg — Wolfsberger AC2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Championship round | Ried | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6, Championship round | Hartberg | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7, Relegation round | Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | -10 | 9 |
| 11, Relegation round | Altach | 8 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 12, Relegation round | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | -9 | 5 |
Austrian Bundesliga on the same day
- WSG TirolGrazer AKpreliminary3931301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Rapid WienAustria Lustenaupreliminary791471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →