Austrian Bundesliga, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Rapid Wien — Austria Lustenau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rapid Wien are clear favourites: 80% against 6% for the opponent, draw 14%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rapid Wien are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Rapid Wien — No. 1, 21 pts; Austria Lustenau — No. 8, 8 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Rapid Wien: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Rapid Wien 1 win, Austria Lustenau 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rapid Wien — Austria Lustenau What is xG? | 2.6–0.7 | |
| Rapid Wien not to lose | 94% | |
| Austria Lustenau not to lose | 20% | |
| No draw | 86% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Rapid Wien
- Rapid Wien goals
- Austria Lustenau goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · LASK2:0
- 18.09WSG Tirol3:0
- 12.09away · Wolfsberger AC3:0
- 02.09away · Salzburg1:5
- 30.08Sturm Graz3:1
- 11.10away · Hartberg3:4
- 19.09Altach2:0
- 13.09away · Austria Wien1:2
- 28.08WSG Tirol0:4
- 22.08away · Sturm Graz1:1
Head to head
- 03.03.2024Rapid Wien — Austria Lustenau1:1
- 07.10.2023Austria Lustenau — Rapid Wien0:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Rapid Wien | 8 | 7 | +16 | 21 |
| 2, Championship round | Salzburg | 8 | 5 | +14 | 18 |
| 7, Relegation round | Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | -10 | 9 |
| 8, Relegation round | Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 9, Relegation round | WSG Tirol | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
Austrian Bundesliga on the same day
- HartbergWolfsberger ACpreliminary4529261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- WSG TirolGrazer AKpreliminary4231281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →