Austrian Bundesliga, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
WSG Tirol — Grazer AK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
WSG Tirol are slightly stronger: 39% against 30%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: WSG Tirol — Grazer AK What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| WSG Tirol not to lose | 70% | |
| Grazer AK not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap WSG Tirol
- WSG Tirol goals
- Grazer AK goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Ried1:2
- 18.09away · Rapid Wien0:3
- 13.09Hartberg2:2
- 02.09away · Austria Wien1:0
- 28.08away · Austria Lustenau4:0
- 10.10Salzburg0:0
- 19.09Austria Wien2:2
- 12.09away · Altach2:1
- 29.08Wolfsberger AC0:0
- 21.08away · Ried0:1
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Grazer AK — WSG Tirol4:0
- 21.03.2026WSG Tirol — Grazer AK1:5
- 08.03.2026WSG Tirol — Grazer AK2:0
- 16.08.2025Grazer AK — WSG Tirol1:1
- 23.05.2025WSG Tirol — Grazer AK1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Championship round | Hartberg | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7, Relegation round | Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | -10 | 9 |
| 8, Relegation round | Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 9, Relegation round | WSG Tirol | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 10, Relegation round | Austria Wien | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
Austrian Bundesliga on the same day
- HartbergWolfsberger ACpreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Rapid WienAustria Lustenaupreliminary791471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →