Scottish Premiership, round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Hibernian — Falkirk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Hibernian are clear favourites: 49% against 24% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hibernian are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hibernian — Falkirk What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Hibernian not to lose | 76% | |
| Falkirk not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hibernian
- Hibernian goals
- Falkirk goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Dundee United0:1
- 19.09Aberdeen1:1
- 15.09Kilmarnock0:1
- 06.09away · St. Johnstone1:2
- 03.09Heart of Midlothian1:3
- 10.10Dundee FC1:2
- 19.09away · St. Johnstone1:1
- 15.09Heart of Midlothian2:1
- 05.09away · Dundee United1:1
- 02.09Rangers1:2
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Falkirk — Hibernian1:3
- 24.01.2026Falkirk — Hibernian4:1
- 06.12.2025Hibernian — Falkirk3:0
- 23.09.2025Falkirk — Hibernian2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Relegation round | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 10, Relegation round | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 11, Relegation round | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
| 12, Relegation round | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | -11 | 5 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- 4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →