Scottish Premiership, round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
St. Johnstone — Dundee United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: St. Johnstone 37%, Dundee United 35%, draw 28%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St. Johnstone — Dundee United What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| St. Johnstone not to lose | 65% | |
| Dundee United not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap St. Johnstone
- St. Johnstone goals
- Dundee United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Aberdeen1:0
- 19.09Falkirk1:1
- 09.09Celtic0:1
- 06.09Hibernian2:1
- 02.09away · Dundee FC1:1
- 10.10Hibernian1:0
- 19.09away · St. Mirren3:0
- 05.09Falkirk1:1
- 02.09away · Motherwell0:3
- 29.08away · Kilmarnock4:0
Head to head
- 12.04.2025Dundee United — St. Johnstone1:0
- 26.12.2024St. Johnstone — Dundee United1:2
- 24.08.2024Dundee United — St. Johnstone2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Championship round | Dundee FC | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 5, Championship round | St. Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6, Championship round | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7, Relegation round | St. Mirren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- 4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →