UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · SNP Arena
Hoffenheim — Beşiktaş
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Evenly matched: Hoffenheim 38%, Beşiktaş 36%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hoffenheim — Beşiktaş What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Hoffenheim not to lose | 64% | |
| Beşiktaş not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hoffenheim
- Hoffenheim goals
- Beşiktaş goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Hamburger SV2:3
- 20.09away · Paderborn1:3
- 17.09away · OFI Crete0:2
- 12.09VfB Stuttgart2:1
- 05.09Borussia Dortmund2:3
- 11.10Kocaelispor2:1
- 20.09away · Amed Sportif2:3
- 17.09Marseille4:1
- 11.09Erzurumspor FK3:0
- 05.09away · Fenerbahçe2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Straight to the round of 16 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 3, Straight to the round of 16 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4, Straight to the round of 16 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 29 | Milan | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | NK Celje | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
Europa League on the same day
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3226412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2926452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →