Botola Pro (Morocco), round 4 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Tangier Grand Stadium

Ittihad Tanger — MAS Fès

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 14 October

Ittihad Tanger23%
Draw32%
MAS Fès44%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

MAS Fès are clear favourites: 44% against 23% for the opponent, draw 32%.

2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 41%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings MAS Fès are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Ittihad Tanger — No. 7, 4 pts; MAS Fès — No. 2, 7 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • MAS Fès: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Ittihad Tanger 1 win, MAS Fès 1, 3 draws.
  • Days of rest before the match: Ittihad Tanger 4, MAS Fès 6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ittihad Tanger — MAS Fès What is xG?0.8–1.2
Ittihad Tanger not to lose56%
MAS Fès not to lose77%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes41%
Both teams to score: no59%
Total over 2.534%
Total under 2.566%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Ittihad Tanger
  • Ittihad Tanger goals
  • MAS Fès goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Ittihad Tanger

  • 10.10away · KACM1:2
  • 02.10MAT Tetouan1:1
  • 24.09away · US Amal Tiznit3:1
  • 05.07CODM Meknès2:1
  • 02.07away · Union Touarga Sport0:1

MAS Fès

  • 08.10Raja Casablanca0:0
  • 03.10away · Hassania Agadir2:1
  • 27.09Renaissance Club Zemamra2:1
  • 05.07Olympique Dcheïra2:0
  • 02.07away · KACM0:0

Head to head

  • 22.05.2026MAS Fès — Ittihad Tanger0:1
  • 25.10.2025Ittihad Tanger — MAS Fès1:1
  • 09.03.2025MAS Fès — Ittihad Tanger1:1
  • 03.11.2024Ittihad Tanger — MAS Fès1:1
  • 09.03.2024MAS Fès — Ittihad Tanger2:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, CAF Champions LeagueHassania Agadir421111–8+37
2, CAF Champions LeagueMAS Fès32104–2+27
3, CAF Confederation CupUnion Touarga Sport32103–1+27
6CODM Meknès31116–3+34
7Ittihad Tanger31115–4+14
8FAR Rabat21103–2+14

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →