Uruguayan Primera Division, round 10 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Juventud de las Piedras — Racing
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2:0Missed
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (32%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 32% fails in about 68 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Juventud de las Piedras 34%, Racing 34%, draw 32%.
The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 28%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Racing are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Juventud de las Piedras — Racing What is xG? | 0.9–0.9 | |
| Juventud de las Piedras not to lose | 66% | |
| Racing not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 28% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 72% |
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Form
- 04.10away · Boston River0:0
- 27.09Cerro0:0
- 20.09away · Albion3:1
- 13.09Danubio1:1
- 06.09away · Nacional (URU)2:2
- 05.10Club Atletico Peñarol0:1
- 26.09away · Club Atlético Progreso1:2
- 21.09away · Liverpool FC0:0
- 12.09Boston River3:2
- 06.09away · Cerro0:1
Head to head
- 04.04.2026Racing — Juventud de las Piedras2:1
- 20.10.2025Racing — Juventud de las Piedras0:0
- 08.06.2025Juventud de las Piedras — Racing2:1
- 19.04.2025Juventud de las Piedras — Racing1:0
Next matches
- Club Atlético ProgresoJuventud de las Piedras17 October · Uruguayan Primera2830432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.2
- RacingMontevideo Wanderers17 October · Uruguayan Primera4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
Uruguayan Primera on the same day
- 811361The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.3.0
- 4329281The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 34% will not happen in roughly 66 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →