Uruguayan Primera Division, round 10 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Cerro Largo — Albion
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:1Missed
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Cerro Largo to win (43%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 43% fails in about 57 matches out of 100 on average.
Cerro Largo are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cerro Largo — Albion What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Cerro Largo not to lose | 72% | |
| Albion not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Cerro Largo
- Cerro Largo goals
- Albion goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 04.10away · Danubio1:2
- 26.09Nacional (URU)0:2
- 20.09away · Deportivo Maldonado0:2
- 13.09Central Español0:0
- 05.09away · Montevideo City Torque1:2
- 03.10Defensor Sporting3:2
- 29.09away · Montevideo Wanderers1:2
- 20.09Juventud de las Piedras1:3
- 14.09away · Club Atletico Peñarol1:3
- 07.09Club Atlético Progreso0:1
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Albion — Cerro Largo2:2
Next matches
- CerroCerro Largo17 October · Uruguayan Primera373231XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- AlbionMontevideo City Torque18 October · Uruguayan Primera2827462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
Uruguayan Primera on the same day
- 811361The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.3.0
- 343234XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:0.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →