Nigeria NPFL, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Kano Pillars — Katsina United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Kano Pillars are clear favourites: 63% against 14% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kano Pillars are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kano Pillars — Katsina United What is xG? | 1.7–0.7 | |
| Kano Pillars not to lose | 86% | |
| Katsina United not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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- Handicap Kano Pillars
- Kano Pillars goals
- Katsina United goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Plateau United0:4
- 07.10away · Shooting Stars0:0
- 03.10Sporting Lagos1:1
- 27.09Enyimba0:0
- 23.09away · Inter Lagos1:1
- 09.10Enyimba4:2
- 04.10away · Inter Lagos1:1
- 30.09Rivers United FC1:1
- 27.09Doma United2:1
- 23.09away · Shooting Stars0:2
Head to head
- 28.01.2026Kano Pillars — Katsina United1:0
- 07.09.2025Katsina United — Kano Pillars1:0
- 07.05.2025Katsina United — Kano Pillars1:0
- 08.12.2024Kano Pillars — Katsina United1:0
- 28.02.2024Katsina United — Kano Pillars3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 8 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Nasarawa United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.7
- 6324141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- 4929221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- 6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 731791The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6821101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- 5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →