Nigeria NPFL, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Enugu Rangers — Bendel Insurance
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Enugu Rangers are clear favourites: 73% against 9% for the opponent, draw 17%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Enugu Rangers are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Enugu Rangers — Bendel Insurance What is xG? | 2.1–0.6 | |
| Enugu Rangers not to lose | 91% | |
| Bendel Insurance not to lose | 27% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Enugu Rangers
- Enugu Rangers goals
- Bendel Insurance goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Barau2:2
- 04.10Abia Warriors3:1
- 30.09away · Warri Wolves FC1:0
- 27.09away · Ikorodu City0:2
- 23.09Ranchers Bees1:0
- 11.10away · Sporting Lagos1:2
- 04.10Barau4:1
- 27.09away · Abia Warriors0:3
- 23.09Ikorodu City2:1
- 19.09away · Ranchers Bees1:2
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Enugu Rangers — Bendel Insurance2:1
- 13.12.2025Bendel Insurance — Enugu Rangers1:1
- 05.04.2025Bendel Insurance — Enugu Rangers0:0
- 17.11.2024Enugu Rangers — Bendel Insurance3:2
- 16.06.2024Enugu Rangers — Bendel Insurance2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 2 | Rivers United FC | 8 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 6 | Ikorodu City | 8 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 8 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.7
- 6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 6324141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- 4929221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- 6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 6821101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- 5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →