Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Karabük Idmanyurdu Spor — Iskenderun FK

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Model prediction for 27 October

Karabük Idmanyurdu Spor29%
Draw26%
Iskenderun FK45%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Iskenderun FK are slightly stronger: 45% against 29%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Iskenderun FK are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Karabük Idmanyurdu Spor — Iskenderun FK What is xG?1.2–1.6
Karabük Idmanyurdu Spor not to lose55%
Iskenderun FK not to lose71%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Karabük Idmanyurdu Spor
  • Karabük Idmanyurdu Spor goals
  • Iskenderun FK goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Karabük Idmanyurdu Spor

  • 30.10away · Gaziantep FK0:2

Iskenderun FK

  • 01.04away · Konyaspor0:3
  • 26.02away · Fatih Karagümrük2:1
  • 05.02Trabzonspor2:2
  • 07.01away · Ankaragücü1:1
  • 19.12Hatayspor1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →