2. Bundesliga, round 8 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Karlsruher SC — Darmstadt
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Karlsruher SC are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 27%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Karlsruher SC — No. 17, 5 pts; Darmstadt — No. 14, 7 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Karlsruher SC: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Karlsruher SC 1 win, Darmstadt 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Karlsruher SC — Darmstadt What is xG? | 1.7–1.5 | |
| Karlsruher SC not to lose | 69% | |
| Darmstadt not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Karlsruher SC
- Karlsruher SC goals
- Darmstadt goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · St. Pauli0:2
- 19.091. FC Nürnberg0:1
- 13.09Energie Cottbus0:3
- 04.09away · Hannover 962:2
- 29.08Wolfsburg2:5
- 10.10Energie Cottbus3:1
- 18.09away · Wolfsburg1:5
- 11.09Arminia Bielefeld2:1
- 05.09away · Kaiserslautern0:3
- 30.08Hannover 960:1
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Karlsruher SC — Darmstadt2:1
- 06.12.2025Darmstadt — Karlsruher SC3:2
- 07.03.2025Darmstadt — Karlsruher SC3:0
- 04.10.2024Karlsruher SC — Darmstadt3:3
- 21.04.2023Darmstadt — Karlsruher SC2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Darmstadt | 7 | 2 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | -6 | 5 |
| 17, Relegation | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | -4 | 4 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 5623201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →