Turkish Super Lig, round 8 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Kasımpaşa — Samsunspor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Kasımpaşa are clear favourites: 46% against 24% for the opponent, draw 30%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Kasımpaşa — No. 9, 10 pts; Samsunspor — No. 17, 4 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Samsunspor: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Kasımpaşa 2 wins, Samsunspor 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kasımpaşa — Samsunspor What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Kasımpaşa not to lose | 76% | |
| Samsunspor not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kasımpaşa
- Kasımpaşa goals
- Samsunspor goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 09.10away · Galatasaray1:3
- 18.09Konyaspor0:0
- 13.09away · Gençlerbirliği2:1
- 06.09Amed Sportif2:2
- 30.08away · Başakşehir1:1
- 10.10Trabzonspor0:3
- 20.09away · Erzurumspor FK0:1
- 12.09Çorum FK1:5
- 06.09away · Kocaelispor0:1
- 30.08Fenerbahçe0:2
Head to head
- 30.01.2026Kasımpaşa — Samsunspor0:1
- 17.09.2025Samsunspor — Kasımpaşa0:0
- 29.03.2025Samsunspor — Kasımpaşa0:2
- 26.10.2024Kasımpaşa — Samsunspor1:4
- 27.04.2024Kasımpaşa — Samsunspor1:0
Table
Super Lig on the same day
- 353234XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →