Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Kocaelispor — Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kocaelispor are clear favourites: 76% against 8% for the opponent, draw 15%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kocaelispor are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kocaelispor — Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor What is xG? | 2.6–0.7 | |
| Kocaelispor not to lose | 92% | |
| Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor not to lose | 24% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kocaelispor
- Kocaelispor goals
- Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Beşiktaş1:2
- 19.09Gaziantep FK2:0
- 13.09away · Galatasaray0:1
- 06.09Samsunspor1:0
- 29.08away · Konyaspor2:1
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Turkish Cup on the same day
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- ElazığsporErciyes 38preliminary4127331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Kastamonuspor 196624 Erzincansporpreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Etimesgut Spor KulubuGaziantep FKpreliminary1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- SarıyerAyvalikgücü Belediyesporpreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Ağrı 1970 Sporİstanbulsporpreliminary1421652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- BalıkesirsporArnavutköy Belediyesporpreliminary3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FethiyesporEyüpsporpreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →