Uzbekistan Super League, round 24 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Kokand 1912 — Neftchi Fargona
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Neftchi Fargona are clear favourites: 57% against 19% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Neftchi Fargona are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Kokand 1912 — No. 13, 23 pts; Neftchi Fargona — No. 1, 52 pts. A gap of 29 pts.
- Days of rest before the match: Kokand 1912 7, Neftchi Fargona 9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kokand 1912 — Neftchi Fargona What is xG? | 1.0–1.9 | |
| Kokand 1912 not to lose | 43% | |
| Neftchi Fargona not to lose | 81% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kokand 1912
- Kokand 1912 goals
- Neftchi Fargona goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Mashal Muborak3:0
- 20.09away · Surkhon-20110:1
- 10.09away · Andijon1:2
- 05.09Dinamo Samarkand1:1
- 24.08Buxoro1:1
- 07.10Xorazm2:2
- 20.09away · Lokomotiv Tashkent1:0
- 09.09Surkhon-20112:1
- 04.09away · Nasaf Qarshi2:6
- 23.08Sogdiana3:0
Head to head
- 29.04.2026Neftchi Fargona — Kokand 19124:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | +33 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 23 | 15 | +21 | 52 |
| 12 | Surkhon-2011 | 23 | 7 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | -14 | 22 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- 3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
- 4432251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →