Russian Cup, round 5 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Dynamo Makhachkala
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Krylya Sovetov Samara are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Krylya Sovetov Samara — Dynamo Makhachkala What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Krylya Sovetov Samara not to lose | 70% | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Krylya Sovetov Samara
- Krylya Sovetov Samara goals
- Dynamo Makhachkala goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Spartak Moscow1:1
- 16.09away · Lokomotiv Moscow1:1
- 11.09Rodina2:1
- 05.09FC Krasnodar2:2
- 02.09away · Baltika0:0
- 10.10away · FC Orenburg0:4
- 17.09CSKA Moscow1:3
- 13.09away · FK Akhmat2:3
- 06.09Rodina2:0
- 02.09away · Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
Head to head
- 16.08.2026Krylya Sovetov Samara — Dynamo Makhachkala1:4
- 04.08.2026Dynamo Makhachkala — Krylya Sovetov Samara1:2
- 08.03.2026Krylya Sovetov Samara — Dynamo Makhachkala2:0
- 01.11.2025Dynamo Makhachkala — Krylya Sovetov Samara2:0
- 15.03.2025Dynamo Makhachkala — Krylya Sovetov Samara4:0
Russian Cup on the same day
- CSKA MoscowLokomotiv Moscowpreliminary4826271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- BaltikaZenit St. Petersburgpreliminary1622622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →