Russian Cup, round 5 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
CSKA Moscow are clear favourites: 48% against 27% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CSKA Moscow are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- CSKA Moscow: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: CSKA Moscow 2 wins, Lokomotiv Moscow 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| CSKA Moscow not to lose | 73% | |
| Lokomotiv Moscow not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow goals
- Lokomotiv Moscow goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10FC Rostov4:0
- 11.10Rodina3:0
- 17.09away · Dynamo Makhachkala3:1
- 12.09Rubin Kazan1:1
- 05.09away · Zenit St. Petersburg2:1
- 13.10Akron Togliatti1:1
- 10.10away · Fakel5:0
- 16.09Krylya Sovetov Samara1:1
- 12.09away · Zenit St. Petersburg1:2
- 06.09away · Baltika1:0
Head to head
- 22.08.2026CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow3:2
- 04.08.2026Lokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow1:1
- 17.05.2026CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow3:1
- 18.10.2025Lokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow3:0
- 01.10.2025Lokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow0:0
Russian Cup on the same day
- Krylya Sovetov SamaraDynamo Makhachkalapreliminary4127321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- BaltikaZenit St. Petersburgpreliminary1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →