Serie A, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Lecce — Juventus
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Juventus are clear favourites: 66% against 10% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Juventus are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lecce — Juventus What is xG? | 0.7–1.8 | |
| Lecce not to lose | 34% | |
| Juventus not to lose | 90% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lecce
- Lecce goals
- Juventus goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Cagliari1:1
- 20.09Atalanta2:0
- 17.09NEC Nijmegen5:0
- 13.09away · Sassuolo2:3
- 06.09Milan1:1
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Lecce — Juventus0:1
- 03.01.2026Juventus — Lecce1:1
- 12.04.2025Juventus — Lecce2:1
- 01.12.2024Lecce — Juventus1:1
- 21.01.2024Lecce — Juventus0:3
Table
Serie A on the same day
- InterFiorentinapreliminary731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- AtalantaFrosinonepreliminary6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- GenoaVeneziapreliminary5229201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- UdineseMilanpreliminary2129502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →