La Liga, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Levante — Atlético Madrid
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Atlético Madrid are slightly stronger: 46% against 27%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlético Madrid are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Levante — Atlético Madrid What is xG? | 1.3–1.8 | |
| Levante not to lose | 54% | |
| Atlético Madrid not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Levante
- Levante goals
- Atlético Madrid goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 12.10Sevilla3:3
- 20.09away · Villarreal1:3
- 13.09Barcelona2:4
- 06.09away · Málaga0:0
- 29.08Real Betis5:2
- 13.10Manchester United2:0
- 10.10away · Deportivo Alavés2:1
- 20.09Real Madrid2:1
- 16.09Osasuna4:0
- 13.09away · Real Sociedad3:0
Head to head
- 31.01.2026Levante — Atlético Madrid0:0
- 08.11.2025Atlético Madrid — Levante3:1
- 18.01.2023Levante — Atlético Madrid0:2
- 16.02.2022Atlético Madrid — Levante0:1
- 28.10.2021Levante — Atlético Madrid2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | +27 | 24 |
| 2, Champions League | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 3, Champions League | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Elche | 8 | 1 | -6 | 6 |
La Liga on the same day
- Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigopreliminary4430261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Real BetisMálagapreliminary722091The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- BarcelonaDeportivo Alavéspreliminary851141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →