La Liga, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Rayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rayo Vallecano are slightly stronger: 44% against 26%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rayo Vallecano are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo What is xG? | 1.4–1.0 | |
| Rayo Vallecano not to lose | 74% | |
| Celta Vigo not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano goals
- Celta Vigo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · Osasuna1:1
- 15.09Espanyol2:1
- 12.09away · Real Madrid1:4
- 05.09Racing Santander3:2
- 31.08away · Barcelona2:5
- 11.10away · Elche0:0
- 19.09Racing Santander5:0
- 16.09away · Omonia Nicosia0:1
- 13.09Málaga1:1
- 07.09away · Getafe1:1
Head to head
- 18.01.2026Celta Vigo — Rayo Vallecano3:0
- 21.09.2025Rayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo1:1
- 18.05.2025Celta Vigo — Rayo Vallecano1:2
- 10.01.2025Rayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo2:1
- 31.03.2024Celta Vigo — Rayo Vallecano0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruña | 8 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
La Liga on the same day
- LevanteAtlético Madridpreliminary2727462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1
- Real BetisMálagapreliminary722091The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- BarcelonaDeportivo Alavéspreliminary851141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →