La Liga, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Real Betis — Málaga
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Betis are clear favourites: 72% against 9% for the opponent, draw 20%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Betis are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Betis — Málaga What is xG? | 2.0–0.7 | |
| Real Betis not to lose | 91% | |
| Málaga not to lose | 28% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Real Betis
- Real Betis goals
- Málaga goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Osasuna5:2
- 20.09away · Deportivo A Coruña1:1
- 17.09Getafe1:0
- 14.09away · Villarreal2:1
- 08.09away · Lille3:2
- 09.10Espanyol1:1
- 20.09away · Getafe0:1
- 17.09Villarreal1:3
- 13.09away · Celta Vigo1:1
- 06.09Levante0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 3, Champions League | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 4, Champions League | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 19, Relegation | Valencia | 8 | 1 | -9 | 5 |
| 20, Relegation | Málaga | 8 | 0 | -9 | 4 |
La Liga on the same day
- LevanteAtlético Madridpreliminary2727462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1
- Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigopreliminary4430261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- BarcelonaDeportivo Alavéspreliminary851141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →