EFL Championship, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Lincoln City — Burnley
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lincoln City are slightly stronger: 39% against 32%, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Burnley are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lincoln City — Burnley What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Lincoln City not to lose | 68% | |
| Burnley not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lincoln City
- Lincoln City goals
- Burnley goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Sheffield United0:3
- 19.09Swansea City1:2
- 15.09away · Bristol City1:0
- 12.09away · Preston North End1:0
- 08.09away · AFC Bournemouth0:4
- 13.10Charlton Athletic2:2
- 10.10away · Watford4:0
- 19.09Derby County1:1
- 12.09away · Swansea City1:3
- 08.09away · Wrexham1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 10 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | -4 | 8 |
| 22, Relegation | Watford | 10 | 2 | -11 | 8 |
Championship on the same day
- Charlton AthleticNorwich Citypreliminary3229382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- PortsmouthMillwallpreliminary362934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- Sheffield UnitedDerby Countypreliminary5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Blackburn RoversWrexhampreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Cardiff CityBirmingham Citypreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1
- Preston North EndWest Bromwich Albionpreliminary3229382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Queens Park RangersSwansea Citypreliminary4029321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Stoke CityBristol Citypreliminary363034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →