EFL Championship, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Charlton Athletic — Norwich City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Charlton Athletic 32%, Norwich City 38%, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Norwich City are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Charlton Athletic — No. 13, 14 pts; Norwich City — No. 19, 9 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Charlton Athletic: winless in 5; Norwich City: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 3 meetings: Charlton Athletic 0 wins, Norwich City 3.
- Days of rest before the match: Charlton Athletic 11, Norwich City 14.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Charlton Athletic — Norwich City What is xG? | 1.2–1.4 | |
| Charlton Athletic not to lose | 62% | |
| Norwich City not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Charlton Athletic
- Charlton Athletic goals
- Norwich City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10away · Burnley2:2
- 10.10Bristol City1:1
- 19.09away · Cardiff City1:3
- 12.09Portsmouth0:0
- 09.09Queens Park Rangers0:0
- 10.10away · Swansea City1:2
- 20.09Bolton Wanderers3:4
- 17.09away · Manchester City0:5
- 12.09away · Middlesbrough3:4
- 09.09Birmingham City2:1
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Charlton Athletic — Norwich City0:1
- 26.12.2025Norwich City — Charlton Athletic1:0
- 09.01.2022Charlton Athletic — Norwich City0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic | 10 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 10 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich City | 9 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
Championship on the same day
- PortsmouthMillwallpreliminary362934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- Sheffield UnitedDerby Countypreliminary5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Blackburn RoversWrexhampreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Cardiff CityBirmingham Citypreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1
- Lincoln CityBurnleypreliminary3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Preston North EndWest Bromwich Albionpreliminary3229382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Queens Park RangersSwansea Citypreliminary4029321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Stoke CityBristol Citypreliminary363034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →