Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Llaneros FC — Santa Fe
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Santa Fe are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Santa Fe are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Llaneros FC — No. 12, 14 pts; Santa Fe — No. 6, 22 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Llaneros FC: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 3 meetings: Llaneros FC 2 wins, Santa Fe 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Llaneros FC 9, Santa Fe 13.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Llaneros FC — Santa Fe What is xG? | 1.1–1.3 | |
| Llaneros FC not to lose | 60% | |
| Santa Fe not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Llaneros FC
- Llaneros FC goals
- Santa Fe goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Once Caldas0:1
- 05.10América de Cali1:2
- 27.09away · Cúcuta1:2
- 21.09Atlético Nacional2:0
- 13.09away · Internacional de Bogotá2:3
- 06.10away · Independiente Medellín1:0
- 29.09away · Deportivo Pereira2:1
- 23.09Deportivo Cali0:1
- 20.09away · Alianza FC4:1
- 16.09away · Vasco da Gama0:2
Head to head
- 02.04.2026Santa Fe — Llaneros FC0:1
- 12.10.2025Santa Fe — Llaneros FC1:3
- 01.05.2025Llaneros FC — Santa Fe0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Semi-final groups | Independiente Medellín | 13 | 7 | +4 | 23 |
| 6, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | +7 | 22 |
| 7, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros FC | 13 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogotá | 14 | 2 | -4 | 14 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 3931301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 4230281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →