Uzbekistan Super League, round 24 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Lokomotiv Tashkent — Nasaf Qarshi
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Lokomotiv Tashkent 36%, Nasaf Qarshi 36%, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Lokomotiv Tashkent — No. 4, 38 pts; Nasaf Qarshi — No. 5, 37 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Nasaf Qarshi: 4 wins in a row.
- Days of rest before the match: Lokomotiv Tashkent 6, Nasaf Qarshi 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lokomotiv Tashkent — Nasaf Qarshi What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Lokomotiv Tashkent not to lose | 64% | |
| Nasaf Qarshi not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Sogdiana3:2
- 20.09Neftchi Fargona0:1
- 11.09Mashal Muborak3:0
- 04.09away · Navbahor Namangan1:1
- 26.08Bunyodkor Tashkent4:1
- 09.10Dinamo Samarkand2:1
- 20.09away · Andijon4:1
- 09.09Bunyodkor Tashkent3:0
- 04.09Neftchi Fargona6:2
- 26.08away · Qizilqum Zarafshon0:1
Head to head
- 23.04.2026Nasaf Qarshi — Lokomotiv Tashkent2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 23 | 13 | +18 | 45 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 23 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 5 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | +13 | 37 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 3828331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →