Belgian Pro League, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Lommel — Gent
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gent are slightly stronger: 41% against 29%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gent are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lommel — Gent What is xG? | 1.0–1.3 | |
| Lommel not to lose | 59% | |
| Gent not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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Form
- 09.10away · SK Beveren3:1
- 19.09KV Mechelen0:0
- 12.09away · Union St.Gilloise0:5
- 04.09Club Brugge0:1
- 29.08away · Cercle Brugge1:0
- 10.10away · Zulte Waregem2:0
- 18.09Standard Liège2:1
- 13.09away · Genk1:1
- 06.09away · Cercle Brugge3:0
- 03.09OH Leuven1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Gent | 8 | 7 | +11 | 22 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Club Brugge | 8 | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 9 | Standard Liège | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Lommel | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- Cercle BruggeRoyal Antwerppreliminary5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- St.TruidenOH Leuvenpreliminary6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Sporting CharleroiRAAL La Louvièrepreliminary6422141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →