Belgian Pro League, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
St.Truiden — OH Leuven
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
St.Truiden are clear favourites: 59% against 17% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings St.Truiden are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: St.Truiden — No. 12, 8 pts; OH Leuven — No. 15, 5 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- St.Truiden: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: St.Truiden 3 wins, OH Leuven 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St.Truiden — OH Leuven What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| St.Truiden not to lose | 83% | |
| OH Leuven not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap St.Truiden
- St.Truiden goals
- OH Leuven goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · KV Mechelen3:4
- 20.09Westerlo0:2
- 12.09away · SK Beveren0:2
- 05.09RAAL La Louvière4:0
- 02.09Union St.Gilloise0:3
- 11.10away · Union St.Gilloise1:1
- 19.09RAAL La Louvière2:0
- 12.09Cercle Brugge1:1
- 06.09away · SK Beveren0:3
- 03.09away · Gent0:1
Head to head
- 18.01.2026St.Truiden — OH Leuven1:0
- 23.11.2025OH Leuven — St.Truiden1:2
- 16.03.2025OH Leuven — St.Truiden3:2
- 15.09.2024St.Truiden — OH Leuven2:1
- 17.05.2024St.Truiden — OH Leuven1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | St.Truiden | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Royal Antwerp | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louvière | 8 | 1 | -10 | 4 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- Cercle BruggeRoyal Antwerppreliminary4925251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- LommelGentpreliminary2128512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- Sporting CharleroiRAAL La Louvièrepreliminary6522131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →