Belgian Pro League, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Cercle Brugge — Royal Antwerp

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Model prediction for 1 November

Cercle Brugge49%
Draw25%
Royal Antwerp25%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cercle Brugge are clear favourites: 49% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 61%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Cercle Brugge are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Cercle Brugge — No. 17, 3 pts; Royal Antwerp — No. 13, 7 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Cercle Brugge: winless in 5; Royal Antwerp: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Cercle Brugge 1 win, Royal Antwerp 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Cercle Brugge — Royal Antwerp What is xG?1.8–1.3
Cercle Brugge not to lose75%
Royal Antwerp not to lose51%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes61%
Both teams to score: no39%
Total over 2.558%
Total under 2.542%

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Form

Cercle Brugge

  • 10.10Anderlecht1:2
  • 19.09away · Sporting Charleroi2:3
  • 12.09away · OH Leuven1:1
  • 06.09Gent0:3
  • 29.08Lommel0:1

Royal Antwerp

  • 11.10away · Westerlo1:5
  • 20.09Union St.Gilloise0:2
  • 13.09away · Club Brugge1:3
  • 05.09away · Standard Liège0:1
  • 30.08St.Truiden1:4

Head to head

  • 31.01.2026Cercle Brugge — Royal Antwerp0:4
  • 04.10.2025Royal Antwerp — Cercle Brugge1:1
  • 01.03.2025Cercle Brugge — Royal Antwerp0:0
  • 06.10.2024Royal Antwerp — Cercle Brugge3:0
  • 12.05.2024Royal Antwerp — Cercle Brugge1:2

Full record: 16 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
12St.Truiden822415–16-18
13Royal Antwerp821512–20-87
14KV Mechelen81349–17-86
16RAAL La Louvière81168–18-104
17, RelegationCercle Brugge80359–16-73
18, RelegationKortrijk81072–18-163

Season 2026/27

Full table

Belgian Pro League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →