Major League Soccer (MLS), round 33 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Los Angeles FC — Minnesota United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Los Angeles FC are clear favourites: 55% against 21% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Los Angeles FC are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Los Angeles FC — No. 11, 42 pts; Minnesota United — No. 25, 30 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Los Angeles FC: winless in 4; Minnesota United: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Los Angeles FC 4 wins, Minnesota United 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Los Angeles FC — Minnesota United What is xG? | 2.0–1.2 | |
| Los Angeles FC not to lose | 79% | |
| Minnesota United not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Los Angeles FC
- Los Angeles FC goals
- Minnesota United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Vancouver Whitecaps1:1
- 27.09away · FC Dallas0:1
- 20.09away · San Jose Earthquakes2:2
- 13.09away · Sporting Kansas City1:3
- 10.09Red Bull New York2:0
- 11.10Houston Dynamo FC2:2
- 27.09away · Seattle Sounders FC1:3
- 20.09LA Galaxy2:3
- 13.09away · St. Louis City2:4
- 10.09FC Dallas1:2
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Minnesota United — Los Angeles FC0:1
- 17.07.2025Minnesota United — Los Angeles FC0:1
- 23.02.2025Los Angeles FC — Minnesota United1:0
- 30.05.2024Los Angeles FC — Minnesota United2:0
- 17.03.2024Minnesota United — Los Angeles FC2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | +13 | 42 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | +11 | 42 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
MLS on the same day
- Nashville SCRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary6721121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- Vancouver WhitecapsSeattle Sounders FCpreliminary6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- Atlanta UnitedToronto FCpreliminary4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- New England RevolutionInter Miami CFpreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
- Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo FCpreliminary4228301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →