Paraguayan Primera Division · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Estadio ueno Luis Salinas Tanasio
Luqueño — Cerro Porteño
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:3Came true
In short
Final score 0:3: the model's most likely outcome, Cerro Porteño to win (51%), came true.
Cerro Porteño are clear favourites: 51% against 21% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cerro Porteño are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Luqueño 0 wins, Cerro Porteño 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Luqueño — Cerro Porteño What is xG? | 1.0–1.6 | |
| Luqueño not to lose | 49% | |
| Cerro Porteño not to lose | 79% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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- Cerro Porteño goals
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Form
- 05.10away · Sportivo Trinidense2:3
- 25.09Guaraní0:1
- 21.09Recoleta1:0
- 13.09away · Olimpia0:3
- 07.09Sportivo Ameliano1:2
- 06.102 de Mayo0:2
- 27.09away · Sportivo Trinidense1:2
- 20.09Rubio Ñú1:0
- 12.09away · Guaraní1:1
- 08.09Nacional (PAR)1:0
Head to head
- 02.08.2026Cerro Porteño — Luqueño3:0
- 01.04.2026Luqueño — Cerro Porteño2:3
- 03.02.2026Cerro Porteño — Luqueño2:0
- 27.09.2025Luqueño — Cerro Porteño0:1
- 20.07.2025Cerro Porteño — Luqueño0:0
Next matches
- LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo19 October · Paraguayan Primera5726171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Cerro PorteñoSportivo Ameliano22 October · Paraguayan Primera · preliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- 1726572The most likely outcome did not happen: 20:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:1.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →