Segunda Division, round 12 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Mallorca — Cádiz
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Mallorca are clear favourites: 56% against 17% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Mallorca are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mallorca — Cádiz What is xG? | 1.4–0.7 | |
| Mallorca not to lose | 83% | |
| Cádiz not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
181 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mallorca
- Mallorca goals
- Cádiz goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10Las Palmas3:1
- 04.10away · Girona0:0
- 27.09Almería0:1
- 19.09away · Real Sociedad B1:0
- 13.09Sabadell2:0
Head to head
- 28.04.2024Cádiz — Mallorca1:1
- 29.11.2023Mallorca — Cádiz1:1
- 12.05.2023Mallorca — Cádiz1:0
- 28.01.2023Cádiz — Mallorca2:0
- 05.02.2022Mallorca — Cádiz2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Castellón | 9 | 6 | +11 | 20 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | +7 | 17 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 19, Relegation | Real Sociedad B | 9 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 20, Relegation | Cádiz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 21, Relegation | AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 1 | -12 | 5 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- Real OviedoLas Palmaspreliminary5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Real ValladolidLeganéspreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →