Segunda Division, round 12 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Real Valladolid — Leganés
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Valladolid are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Valladolid are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Valladolid — Leganés What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Real Valladolid not to lose | 80% | |
| Leganés not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Real Valladolid
- Real Valladolid goals
- Leganés goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Albacete5:0
- 04.10away · Las Palmas2:2
- 27.09Córdoba3:1
- 20.09away · AD Ceuta FC1:1
- 13.09Real Oviedo0:3
- 11.10away · Almería0:3
- 03.10away · Cádiz0:4
- 28.09Castellón0:2
- 20.09Granada3:2
- 13.09away · Tenerife0:2
Head to head
- 14.03.2026Real Valladolid — Leganés3:2
- 11.01.2026Leganés — Real Valladolid3:0
- 24.05.2025Leganés — Real Valladolid3:0
- 28.08.2024Real Valladolid — Leganés0:0
- 03.02.2024Leganés — Real Valladolid0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Granada | 9 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Real Valladolid | 9 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Leganés | 9 | 3 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Andorra | 9 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- Real OviedoLas Palmaspreliminary5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- MallorcaCádizpreliminary5627171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →