Segunda Division, round 12 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Real Oviedo — Las Palmas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Oviedo are clear favourites: 52% against 21% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Oviedo are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Oviedo — Las Palmas What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| Real Oviedo not to lose | 79% | |
| Las Palmas not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Real Oviedo
- Real Oviedo goals
- Las Palmas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Eibar3:1
- 02.10away · Eldense1:4
- 27.09Sporting Gijón2:0
- 20.09away · Sabadell1:3
- 13.09away · Real Valladolid3:0
- 11.10away · Mallorca1:3
- 04.10Real Valladolid2:2
- 27.09away · Eibar2:3
- 20.09Burgos CF1:2
- 12.09away · Cádiz1:0
Head to head
- 09.04.2023Las Palmas — Real Oviedo0:1
- 06.12.2022Real Oviedo — Las Palmas0:0
- 21.05.2022Las Palmas — Real Oviedo2:1
- 06.11.2021Real Oviedo — Las Palmas1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Burgos CF | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Granada | 9 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Leganés | 9 | 3 | -8 | 11 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- Real ValladolidLeganéspreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- MallorcaCádizpreliminary5627171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →