Uzbekistan Super League, round 26 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Mashal Muborak — Dinamo Samarkand
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dinamo Samarkand are clear favourites: 62% against 16% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Dinamo Samarkand are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Mashal Muborak — No. 16, 4 pts; Dinamo Samarkand — No. 8, 30 pts. A gap of 26 pts.
- Mashal Muborak: 5 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mashal Muborak — Dinamo Samarkand What is xG? | 0.9–2.0 | |
| Mashal Muborak not to lose | 38% | |
| Dinamo Samarkand not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mashal Muborak
- Mashal Muborak goals
- Dinamo Samarkand goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Kokand 19120:3
- 19.09Pakhtakor Tashkent1:2
- 11.09away · Lokomotiv Tashkent0:3
- 05.09away · Sogdiana2:5
- 26.08Navbahor Namangan0:2
- 09.10away · Nasaf Qarshi1:2
- 17.09away · Navbahor Namangan2:3
- 10.09Qizilqum Zarafshon1:0
- 05.09away · Kokand 19121:1
- 25.08Pakhtakor Tashkent1:1
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Dinamo Samarkand — Mashal Muborak3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AGMK | 23 | 10 | +2 | 36 |
| 8 | Dinamo Samarkand | 23 | 8 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijon | 23 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 23 | 7 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | -36 | 4 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- Navbahor NamanganAndijonpreliminary6122161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Surkhon-2011Nasaf Qarshipreliminary2530452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →