Uzbekistan Super League, round 26 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Mashal Muborak — Dinamo Samarkand
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dinamo Samarkand are clear favourites: 63% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Dinamo Samarkand are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mashal Muborak — Dinamo Samarkand What is xG? | 0.8–1.9 | |
| Mashal Muborak not to lose | 37% | |
| Dinamo Samarkand not to lose | 85% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Mashal Muborak
- Mashal Muborak goals
- Dinamo Samarkand goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 09.10away · Kokand 19120:3
- 19.09Pakhtakor Tashkent1:2
- 11.09away · Lokomotiv Tashkent0:3
- 05.09away · Sogdiana2:5
- 26.08Navbahor Namangan0:2
- 09.10away · Nasaf Qarshi1:2
- 17.09away · Navbahor Namangan2:3
- 10.09Qizilqum Zarafshon1:0
- 05.09away · Kokand 19121:1
- 25.08Pakhtakor Tashkent1:1
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Dinamo Samarkand — Mashal Muborak3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AGMK | 23 | 10 | +2 | 36 |
| 8 | Dinamo Samarkand | 23 | 8 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijon | 23 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 23 | 7 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | -36 | 4 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- Navbahor NamanganAndijonpreliminary6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Surkhon-2011Nasaf Qarshipreliminary2429462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:11.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →