Tanzania Premier League, round 11 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Mashujaa — Pamba Jiji
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Mashujaa are clear favourites: 45% against 24% for the opponent, draw 32%.
The model expects few goals: 1.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 27%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Mashujaa are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mashujaa — Pamba Jiji What is xG? | 1.1–0.7 | |
| Mashujaa not to lose | 76% | |
| Pamba Jiji not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 27% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 73% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mashujaa
- Mashujaa goals
- Pamba Jiji goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 13.10away · Simba SC1:6
- 08.10Polisi Tanzania FC2:1
- 09.09Singida Black Stars2:1
- 04.09away · Dodoma Jiji FC0:1
- 27.08Kagera Sugar2:1
- 08.10Geita Gold FC4:0
- 13.09TRA United1:3
- 05.09away · JKT Tanzania0:3
- 28.08away · Young Africans0:2
- 23.08away · Azam FC1:2
Head to head
- 04.04.2026Mashujaa — Pamba Jiji0:0
- 17.10.2025Pamba Jiji — Mashujaa2:1
- 19.02.2025Mashujaa — Pamba Jiji2:0
- 21.09.2024Pamba Jiji — Mashujaa2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Azam FC | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate FC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 4 |
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- TRA UnitedFountain Gate FCpreliminary6224141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Simba SCNamungo FCpreliminary88931The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →