Tanzania Premier League, round 11 · Monday, 2 November, MSK

TRA United — Fountain Gate FC

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Model prediction for 2 November

TRA United63%
Draw24%
Fountain Gate FC13%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

TRA United are clear favourites: 63% against 13% for the opponent, draw 24%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 39%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings TRA United are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: TRA United — No. 13, 6 pts; Fountain Gate FC — No. 16, 4 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Fountain Gate FC: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: TRA United 1 win, Fountain Gate FC 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: TRA United — Fountain Gate FC What is xG?1.6–0.6
TRA United not to lose87%
Fountain Gate FC not to lose37%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes39%
Both teams to score: no61%
Total over 2.539%
Total under 2.561%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap TRA United
  • TRA United goals
  • Fountain Gate FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

TRA United

  • 08.10away · Namungo FC0:1
  • 13.09away · Pamba Jiji3:1
  • 04.09Mbeya City0:0
  • 29.08Dodoma Jiji FC0:1
  • 24.08away · Coastal Union1:1

Fountain Gate FC

  • 09.10JKT Tanzania1:2
  • 13.09away · Kagera Sugar1:1
  • 31.08Young Africans0:2
  • 28.08Mbeya City0:2
  • 25.08away · Namungo FC0:1

Head to head

  • 24.05.2026TRA United — Fountain Gate FC1:2
  • 26.02.2026Fountain Gate FC — TRA United1:4
  • 17.02.2025Fountain Gate FC — TRA United0:0
  • 20.09.2024TRA United — Fountain Gate FC1:3
  • 25.02.2024TRA United — Fountain Gate FC1:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
12Geita Gold FC72149–12-37
13TRA United71336–7-16
14Kagera Sugar71248–15-75
15Pamba Jiji71158–13-54
16Fountain Gate FC71153–11-84

Season 2026/27

Full table

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →