Tanzania Premier League, round 11 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Simba SC — Namungo FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Simba SC are clear favourites: 90% against 2% for the opponent, draw 8%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 22%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Simba SC are about 1.9 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Simba SC — No. 1, 24 pts; Namungo FC — No. 11, 9 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
- Simba SC: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Simba SC 4 wins, Namungo FC 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Simba SC — Namungo FC What is xG? | 2.3–0.3 | |
| Simba SC not to lose | 98% | |
| Namungo FC not to lose | 10% | |
| No draw | 92% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 22% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 78% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Simba SC
- Simba SC goals
- Namungo FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Mashujaa6:1
- 10.10Young Africans2:1
- 16.09away · Azam FC2:0
- 31.08Geita Gold FC2:0
- 27.08Coastal Union1:0
- 08.10TRA United1:0
- 11.09away · Dodoma Jiji FC0:1
- 07.09away · Azam FC0:2
- 01.09away · Singida Black Stars2:3
- 29.08away · JKT Tanzania1:2
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Namungo FC — Simba SC1:3
- 01.10.2025Simba SC — Namungo FC3:0
- 19.02.2025Namungo FC — Simba SC0:3
- 25.10.2024Simba SC — Namungo FC3:0
- 30.04.2024Namungo FC — Simba SC2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba SC | 8 | 8 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | +13 | 18 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo FC | 8 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Geita Gold FC | 7 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- TRA UnitedFountain Gate FCpreliminary6224141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- MashujaaPamba Jijipreliminary4232261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 90% will not happen in roughly 10 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →