Ghana Premier League, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Medeama SC — Aduana Stars

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Model prediction for 25 October

Medeama SC68%
Draw20%
Aduana Stars12%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Medeama SC are clear favourites: 68% against 12% for the opponent, draw 20%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 36%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Medeama SC are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Medeama SC — No. 1, 14 pts; Aduana Stars — No. 6, 10 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Medeama SC: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Medeama SC 2 wins, Aduana Stars 0, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Medeama SC — Aduana Stars What is xG?1.7–0.6
Medeama SC not to lose88%
Aduana Stars not to lose32%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes36%
Both teams to score: no64%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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  • Handicap Medeama SC
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Form

Medeama SC

  • 11.10Heart of Lions3:1
  • 04.10away · Debibi1:0
  • 30.09Port City1:0
  • 27.09Holy Stars4:1
  • 23.09away · Dreams FC2:2

Aduana Stars

  • 11.10away · Young Apostles0:1
  • 04.10All Blacks2:1
  • 27.09away · Asante Kotoko SC2:0
  • 20.09Karela United2:1
  • 13.09Samartex0:1

Head to head

  • 14.02.2026Medeama SC — Aduana Stars1:1
  • 08.11.2025Aduana Stars — Medeama SC0:0
  • 23.03.2025Medeama SC — Aduana Stars2:0
  • 28.10.2024Aduana Stars — Medeama SC2:2
  • 21.03.2024Medeama SC — Aduana Stars2:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1Medeama SC642012–5+714
2Hearts of Oak63217–2+511
5Ashanti Gold63129–7+210
6Aduana Stars63126–4+210
7Bechem United63128–8010

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ghana Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →