French Ligue 2, round 11 · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Metz — Pau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Metz are clear favourites: 51% against 23% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Metz are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Metz — Pau What is xG? | 1.9–1.3 | |
| Metz not to lose | 77% | |
| Pau not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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- Handicap Metz
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- Pau goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 12.10away · Dijon2:4
- 19.09Saint-Étienne2:2
- 14.09away · Red Star0:1
- 05.09Rodez4:1
- 29.08away · Annecy FC1:1
Head to head
- 26.04.2025Pau — Metz2:1
- 04.01.2025Metz — Pau0:0
Table
Ligue 2 on the same day
- GrenobleDijonpreliminary3828341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- LavalBoulognepreliminary3931311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- NantesClermont Footpreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- RodezDunkerquepreliminary4228291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →