French Ligue 2, round 11 · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Nantes — Clermont Foot
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nantes are clear favourites: 51% against 21% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nantes are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nantes — Clermont Foot What is xG? | 1.4–0.8 | |
| Nantes not to lose | 79% | |
| Clermont Foot not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nantes
- Nantes goals
- Clermont Foot goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Reims0:0
- 19.09away · Boulogne2:1
- 12.09away · Sochaux0:1
- 07.09Nancy1:0
- 29.08away · Guingamp3:3
- 10.10Red Star2:3
- 18.09away · Grenoble1:1
- 11.09Boulogne0:0
- 04.09away · Dunkerque1:1
- 28.08Sochaux0:0
Head to head
- 14.01.2024Nantes — Clermont Foot1:2
- 17.09.2023Clermont Foot — Nantes0:1
- 29.01.2023Clermont Foot — Nantes0:0
- 30.10.2022Nantes — Clermont Foot1:1
- 03.04.2022Clermont Foot — Nantes2:3
Table
Ligue 2 on the same day
- GrenobleDijonpreliminary3828341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- LavalBoulognepreliminary3931311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- MetzPaupreliminary5126231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
- RodezDunkerquepreliminary4228291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →