French Ligue 2, round 11 · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Rodez — Dunkerque

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Model prediction for 30 October

Rodez42%
Draw28%
Dunkerque29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Rodez are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 28%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 63%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rodez — Dunkerque What is xG?1.6–1.4
Rodez not to lose71%
Dunkerque not to lose58%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes63%
Both teams to score: no37%
Total over 2.558%
Total under 2.542%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Rodez
  • Rodez goals
  • Dunkerque goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Rodez

  • 10.10away · Saint-Étienne0:2
  • 18.09Nancy3:4
  • 11.09Grenoble0:1
  • 05.09away · Metz1:4
  • 28.08Pau2:2

Dunkerque

  • 09.10Annecy FC0:1
  • 18.09away · Pau0:2
  • 12.09Saint-Étienne2:1
  • 04.09Clermont Foot1:1
  • 28.08away · Nancy0:2

Head to head

  • 03.04.2026Dunkerque — Rodez1:1
  • 21.11.2025Rodez — Dunkerque1:1
  • 10.03.2025Rodez — Dunkerque5:1
  • 30.08.2024Dunkerque — Rodez1:0
  • 10.02.2024Rodez — Dunkerque0:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Guingamp822410–13-38
12Dunkerque822410–13-38
13Nantes82249–13-48
14Grenoble82248–13-58
15Rodez821514–18-47
16, Relegation play-offBoulogne80624–6-26

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • GrenobleDijonpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
  • LavalBoulognepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
  • MetzPaupreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →