French Ligue 2, round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Metz — Sochaux

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Model prediction for 17 October

Metz58%
Draw25%
Sochaux17%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Metz are clear favourites: 58% against 17% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Metz are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Metz — Sochaux What is xG?1.9–1.0
Metz not to lose83%
Sochaux not to lose42%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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  • Handicap Metz
  • Metz goals
  • Sochaux goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Metz

  • 12.10away · Dijon2:4
  • 19.09Saint-Étienne2:2
  • 14.09away · Red Star0:1
  • 05.09Rodez4:1
  • 29.08away · Annecy FC1:1

Sochaux

  • 09.10Boulogne1:1
  • 18.09away · Laval1:1
  • 12.09Nantes1:0
  • 04.09away · Pau1:1
  • 28.08away · Clermont Foot0:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8Pau83239–8+111
9Sochaux82515–6-111
10Metz824212–11+110
11Guingamp822410–13-38

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →