EFL Championship, round 11 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Millwall — Lincoln City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Millwall are clear favourites: 47% against 25% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Millwall are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Millwall — Lincoln City What is xG? | 1.4–1.0 | |
| Millwall not to lose | 75% | |
| Lincoln City not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Millwall
- Millwall goals
- Lincoln City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Swansea City0:1
- 10.10away · Preston North End1:0
- 19.09West Ham United2:2
- 15.09away · Middlesbrough2:2
- 12.09away · Blackburn Rovers1:3
- 10.10away · Sheffield United0:3
- 19.09Swansea City1:2
- 15.09away · Bristol City1:0
- 12.09away · Preston North End1:0
- 08.09away · AFC Bournemouth0:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 10 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
Championship on the same day
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.5
- 3628362The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →